rain - myFOXaustin - myfoxaustin community blogs

COLD TO RAINY

From: zackshields
Description:

Another taste of Winter this morning with lows in the 30s. Most of the freezing temps happened north and west of Austin for the second straight morning.

The next storm system is coming into view. It is spinning west of California and will take aim on Texas as we wrap up the work week.

This will be a direct hit on us. It won't be like Sunday night when the rain was in and out of here. Expect multiple rounds of rain on Friday with a few storms that will stay below severe limits.

Here is what the computer model is showing. Enjoy the sunshine today because the clouds march in tomorrow.

The rain will soon follow late Thursday night into Friday.

The rain will be heavy at times and since we will get waves of rain the totals will add up.

The models are showing totals on the high end.

So the bottom line....Sunny today, cloudy tomorrow and rainy on Friday so we will trade in our jackets for some rain gear.
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2 days ago
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1ST FREEZE OF YEAR

From: zackshields
Description:

Rain is gone and now the Winter-like chill will take over.

The latest cold front has made it in. It produced a tiny line of showers overnight.

Since the rain formed right on top of us the totals were low.

Behind the front it will feel totally different...mostly sunny, much cooler and breezy.

Tonight with the winds relaxing and the clear/dry conditions in place, raditional cooling will be

in high gear allowing temperatures to tumble quite a bit.

Here is what the model is showing for lows tomorrow morning.

Some spots in Hill Country will have a light freeze so freeze advisories have been posted.

Get ready for a taste of Winter.

Freeze warning for Llano and Gillespie Counties. Freeze watch that will turn into warning for San Saba and Mason counties.

Keep jackets handy for the next few days.
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4 days ago
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Urban Farm Bicycle Tour

From: jlester
Description:

Saturday, December 5, 2009, 10:00am

Discover some of Austin's local food-producing gems on a family-friendly bicycle tour, including optional stops at Boggy Creek Farm, Zhi Tea, Rain Lily Farm, Hands of the Earth Farm, school and community gardens and more—featuring farm tours, sampling local food products and a chance to win fab
1 week ago
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Rain Totals & Hurricane Ida

From: scottprinsen
Description:

Welcome rain and not-so-welcome fog greeted Central Texas on Sunday. Most of the fog had lifted by midday, but that's about the time the rain moved in. The rain was fairly widespread... with some places picking up over an inch. Check out the rain totals as of 7pm Sunday...

An upper low to our west was pulling tropical moisture up from the Gulf and through Central Texas. The rain will be with us through Sunday evening as the upper low moves overhead. Rain should end Monday morning, with some peeks of sun late in the day.

Sunny and seasonal weather is expected through the rest of the week with highs in the 70s and lows in the 50s. Most of our computer models show an unsettled weather pattern next weekend. We will keep temps in the 70s, with increasing chances of rain Saturday in to Sunday.

The other big weather story of the week will be the future track of Hurricane Ida. Here is the latest on the storm from the 6pm Sunday update from the National Hurricane Center...

Ida has the chance to stengthen further through Monday morning. After that, colder water and wind shear should weaken the storm somewhat. Right now, the official forecast track shows Ida as a category 1 hurricane just offshore from the northern Gulf coast by Tuesday morning...

Note the orange line around Ida... that's the outer edge of tropical storm force winds which could be felt from New Orleans to Mobile to Panama City Tuesday morning. The hurricane force winds should remain offshore and close to the center of the storm.

From here, Ida is expected to turn a little more east of due north and make a landfall somewhere in Alabama or the Florida Panhandle Tuesday evening. She should be near hurricane strength at that time, then weaken once inland. The forecast track then shows Ida moving east and continuing to weaken over southern Georgia and northern Florida Wednesday into Thursday.

Ida is forecast to drop 6 to 10 inches of rain near and around the storm track from Louisiana to Florida! Of course, check in with FOX 7 and myfoxaustin.com for the latest on this storm through the week!

Scott Prinsen
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1 week ago
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Typhoon hit Manila many dead

From: CRYSTALCHRIS
Description:

MANILA, Philippines – A typhoon battered the Philippine capital and surrounding provinces still reeling from recent flooding, sending residents of one town clambering onto rooftops Saturday to escape rising waters. Seven people died and at least five were missing.

Typhoon Mirinae was the fourth storm to lash the northern Philippines since late September and brought new hardship to areas still struggling in the wake of the previous disasters. Nearly 95,000 people who fled during two prior storms were still living in temporary shelters when Mirinae struck, the national disaster agency said.

Saturday's storm headed out to sea in the afternoon and weakened into a tropical storm. It appeared to be heading toward Vietnam.

As Mirinae slammed into Quezon province northeast of Manila around midnight Friday, Philippine authorities evacuated more than 115,000 people in nine provinces east and south of the capital in the storm's path on main Luzon island, the National Disaster Coordinating Council reported. At its height, its winds were blowing 93 miles per hour (150 kilometers per hour) and gusting up to 115 mph (185 kph).

One river in Laguna province, south of Manila, overflowed, washing away a bridge and flooding most of lakeside Santa Cruz town. Residents clambered onto roofs to escape the waters, said Mayor Ariel Magcalas.

"We cannot move, this is no joke. The water is high. We need help," Magcalas said in a public address on Radio DZBB early Saturday.

The muddy floodwater receded as rains eased later in the day, but was still chest-high in some communities.

In Manila, residents hunkered down in their homes overnight as rains beat down on dark, deserted streets. Mirinae passed south of the city of 12 million. The sprawling metropolis saw its worst flooding in 40 years in late September when Tropical Storm Ketsana hit the capital and nearby provinces. In many suburban communities, the floodwaters had still not receded when Mirinae struck.

Ketsana was quickly followed by Typhoon Parma, which triggered massive landslides in Luzon's mountain region. More than 900 people were killed in the storms, and a third then threatened the northern Philippines before veering toward Japan.

Ahead of Saturday's typhoon, millions of Filipinos had boarded buses for their home provinces for the Nov. 1 All Saints Day holiday, when people visit cemeteries to pay respects to dead relatives in this devoutly Roman Catholic nation.

Defense Secretary Gilbert Teodoro expressed fear that floods and traffic congestion may trap visitors at graveyards, where people traditionally spend a day or even a night, but few heeded his call to scrap this year's commemorations. Radio stations reported that large crowds converged on cemeteries even in flooded areas. Carrying candles, food and rain gear, many settled in for an overnight vigil.

Initial reports Saturday indicated more flooding from Mirinae but relatively few deaths.

Six people in four provinces died, most drowning in floodwaters, regional police chief Perfecto Palad said. Among the victims was a 12-year-old girl who was swept away by a flash flood in Laguna's Pagsanjan township, and a man who tried to cross a swollen creek in Rizal province's Pililla township carrying his 1-year-old child, Palad said. The child remains missing along with four other people.

Many flights at Manila's international and domestic airports were canceled, and about 8,000 ferry passengers were stranded as the coast guard grounded all vessels.

Airlines later announced new schedules, and passengers packed terminals trying to catch the earliest flights. The coast guard allowed ferries to resume operations after weathermen lowered all storm alerts.

Manila electric power distributor Meralco said the high winds had forced outages in many areas around the capital, but electricity was restored in most areas by Saturday afternoon.

In Rizal province's Taytay township, about 400 shanties — temporary shelter for about 2,000 people who had been forced to flee their lakeside homes during Ketsana — were destroyed by strong winds, Mayor Joric Gacula said.

By late Saturday afternoon, the storm's winds had slowed to 80 mph (130 kph) and was some 144 miles (230 kilometers) west-southwest of Manila, chief government forecaster Nathaniel Cruz said.

"It is moving away toward the South China Sea," Cruz said. "That part of our lives with (Mirinae) is over."
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3 weeks ago
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BIG AUTUMN STORM

From: zackshields
Description:

The sunny and gorgeous weather we enjoyed yesterday will disappear starting today with showers and storms moving in tonight. There is a very potent upper low spinning over the Four Corners.

It will produce feet of snow in the Rockies and then as it collides with the warm and moist air flowing off the Gulf, the storms will erupt in the middle of the U.S.

This upper low is more powerful than the last one. There is more energy rotating around it. The low will pull in the moisture and lift it rapidly leading to a severe weather outbreak.

The severe storms will start in the Texas panhandle into the Plains today.

Chances of damaging hail are shown below followed by damaging wind chances.

Tomorrow we are in the slight risk area for severe weather. Main concerns will be with large hail and strong winds.

This go around the line of storms should be in and out of here so rain totals will be lower than Monday's event.

It won't clear up immediately because another low pressure system will form west of us on Friday. This low will usher in more moisture and energy which will overrun the cool air at the surface. This interaction will cause overcast skies and on and off light rain as we wrap up the week.

We are still forecasting a sunny, dry and mild Halloween weekend!
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3 weeks ago
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Rainy, Stormy Monday!

From: scottprinsen
Description:

Another cold front is on the way, along with high rain chances for Monday. As of Sunday afternoon, the cold front was located across the Texas Panhandle and steadily moving southeast. As the front gets near Abilene late this evening, we should see thunderstorms blossom in this area. Those storms should intensify, and a few could become severe as the track into the northern Hill Country overnight, then into Austin tomorrow morning. The Storm Prediction Center has highlighted areas north and west of Austin as being in a slight risk for severe weather late tonight and into the early hours of Monday.

There is a slight risk that a few storms may produce large hail and damaging winds. Austin remains on the southern edge of the risk area... and a weather watch could be posted for part of our area.

We are also expecting some widespread rain with the front, especially through the first half of the day on Monday when some of it could be heavy. Rainfall forecasts indicate widespread one inch totals across the Austin area, with a few spots picking up as much as two inches! Since the ground is still wet from last week's rain, a flash flood watch has been posted for Central Texas until 7pm Monday.

Finally, cooler weather is also in the mix for Monday. It appears that we will start the day in the mid 60s, but as the front moves through after sunrise, temps will begin falling into the 50s through the afternoon! The rain should taper off Monday evening. So, count on a stormy, wet, and chilly day! Grab the jackets and umbrellas... and leave for work and school a little extra early Monday morning! Be sure to check out the FOX 7 News Edge beginning at 5am and Zack will have the very latest on our weather situation!

Scott Prinsen
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3 weeks ago
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FLOODING PICS

From: zackshields
Description:

With the rain leaving Central Texas all the creeks and rivers are going back to normal. They are full but below flood stage. Lake Travis continues to rise. Now it is at 641'. It could go up to 644' by this weekend. Travis is still 40 feet from being full at least we are making progress. Here are some pictures of San Gabriel River near Georgetown after the heavy rain. The pictures were taken by Anthony Lira, a Junior from Georgetown High School.

Enjoy the sunny and mild weekend!!!! More rain heading this way by Sunday night.
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4 weeks ago
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Oct. 21,22 Rain Totals!

From: scottprinsen
Description:

Heavy rain moved across Central Texas late last night and early this morning. Most of us saw between one and three inches... but areas between Fredericksburg and Burnet saw five to nine inches. The bull's eye was centered over Sandy Creek near Kingsland, where over nine inches of rain fell! This rain moved into Sandy Creek and into Lake LBJ... and will filter down into Lake Travis. The Pedernales River also saw between four and six inces of rain, which will also go directly into Lake Travis. The level of Lake Travis before the rain started was just above 632'. After the rain, the LCRA is forecasting the lake to reach 644' by the weekend! Most of the heaviest rain fell below Lake Buchanan, so the rise is only forecast to be about a foot by the weekend.

Below, I have captured the rainfall totals from actual LCRA rain gauges. The colorized areas under the totals are the rainfall estimates by the doppler radar. Note the yellow, orange and red colors over the Hill Country... that's the zone of those six to nine inch totals!

We get a few days of nice fall weather, then a couple of cold fronts arrive on Monday and Wednesday with more rain!

Scott Prinsen
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4 weeks ago
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LAKE TRAVIS RISING!!!

From: zackshields
Description:

The remnants of Hurricane Rick collided with a cold front as promised and gave Central Texas a big rain event. Much of the area had rain for 15 straight hours. The showers did dump too much rain near Kingsland producing flooding. The radar estimated 6 to 9 inches of rain near Lake LBJ. Sure enough the gauges verify the totals.

The Sandy Creek and Pedernales River did reach flood stage last night. 24 hours before the rain there was barely in the water in them and now they are raging rivers.

There was so much rain upstream that the LCRA had to open 4 floodgates at Wirtz Dam on Lake LBJ and 10 floodgates at Starke Dam near Marble Falls. The water flowing downstream at 120,000 cubic feet per second.

Since the rain has ended the flood threat is winding down. However, all the water is heading for Lake Travis finally!!! It could go up 10 to 12 feet in the next 24 hours.

Here is a look at some more rain totals across the area.
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4 weeks ago
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Interesting Late Week Weather

From: scottprinsen
Description:

The key to our mid to late week weather forecast will be with powerful Pacific Hurricane Rick. Late last night, Rick had maximum sustained winds of 180mph... a category 5 storm on the Saffir-Simpson Scale... and one of the strongest Pacific hurricanes this season! Rick continues to be very strong, but does remain away from land areas for now. The forecast track from the National Hurricane Center forecast does curve the storm toward the southern Baja by Wednesday, and to the west coast of Mexico on Thursday. Once inland on Thursday, the storm hits the mountains of Mexico and weakens... but the moisture from the storm begins streaming into Texas.

While the moisture begins increasing from the southwest from Rick mid to late week, a cold front and upper level storm approach Texas from the west at the same time. This upper level storm will help steer Rick's moisture across the central and southern parts of the state, boosting rain chances... and potentially bringing heavy rain. Right now, the best shot at seeing the heaviest rain looks to be east and south of Austin toward the coast, but there is plenty of uncertainty this early in the forecast cycle. Some computer forecast models are slower with this rain event, which could mean heavier rain with higher totals, while others show the rain ending more quickly. Right now, the best shot at rain for our area is late Wednesday through early Friday... but this could change... stay tuned! Here is the late week rainfall forecast from the National Weather Service:

The current forecast shows one to one and a half inches of rain for our area Wednesday through Friday morning. Again... we could see much more, or less, depending on how long the upper level storm system takes to move across the state.

Keep an eye on the forecast this week!

Scott Prinsen
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4 weeks ago
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Overcast, showery weather was found across the region on Sunday. We saw mainly light rainfall totals today, but a few spots did get over half an inch. See the roundup of LCRA rain gauge totals as of 4pm Sunday below. More rain is in the forecast over the next two days. Rain totals during this time are expected to average below three-quarters of an inch, but a few spots could see totals over one inch. More sun and drier weather is expected for the second half of the week... but temperatures will soar to near 90 Wednesday and Thursday! A strong cold front is expected late Thursday, and cooler temps and lower humidity are expected Friday into next weekend. Highs will likely be in the 70s, with lows in the 40s to near 50.

Scott Prinsen

LBJ

Location	1 Hour	3 Hour	6 Hour	24 Hour	Since Midnight
Burnet 6 WSW	0.00	0.00	0.14	0.24	0.24
Lake LBJ at 1431 Bridge	0.02	0.02	0.09	0.15	0.15
Sonora 14 SE	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Roosevelt 10 WSW	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Telegraph 9 NW	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
North Llano River near Roosevelt	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Junction 17 NW	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
North Llano River near Junction	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Rocksprings 12 NE	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Telegraph 5 SW	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
South Llano River at Telegraph	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Llano River near Junction	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Mountain Home 17 WNW	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Junction 14 SE	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Johnson Fork near Junction	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
London 12 SSE	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Junction 18 ENE	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Menard 12 SSE	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Mason 15 W	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Mason 7 WSW	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Harper 6 NW	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Harper 13 NW	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
James River near Mason	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Mason 14 SSW	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Mason 3 NNE	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Comanche Creek near Mason	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Llano River near Mason	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01
Fredericksburg 12 NW	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.03	0.03
Harper 8 NE	0.00	0.00	0.05	0.06	0.06
Doss 4 N	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.04	0.04
Beaver Creek near Mason	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01
Doss 8 W	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01
Mason 10 NE	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Willow Creek near Mason	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01
Mason 17 SE	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02
Castell 4 SSE	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.05	0.05
Mason 15 ENE	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Cherry Spring 3 ENE	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.01
Llano 19 SW	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.05	0.05
Hickory Creek near Castell	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.06	0.06
Llano 19 WNW	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Llano 14 WNW	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02
San Fernando Creek near Llano	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.03
Llano 9 NW	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02
Johnson Creek near Llano	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.04	0.04
Cherokee 4 SSE	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03
Llano River at Llano	0.03	0.03	0.04	0.05	0.05
Llano 5 SSW	0.06	0.06	0.08	0.13	0.13
Llano 6 SSE	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.12	0.12
Llano 7 NNE	0.04	0.04	0.05	0.10	0.10
Tow 5 W	0.09	0.10	0.11	0.11	0.11
Little Llano River near Llano	0.02	0.03	0.07	0.08	0.08
Kingsland 7 WNW		0.00	0.04	0.06	0.06
Honey Creek near Kingsland	0.02	0.03	0.05	0.10	0.10
Lake LBJ at 2900 Bridge	0.01	0.01	0.09	0.19	0.19
Llano 13 SSW	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.10	0.10
Fredericksburg 10 NNE	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.03	0.03
Willow City 9 NW	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.03	0.03
Sandy Creek near Willow City	0.01	0.01	0.04	0.09	0.09
Llano 11 SSE	0.02	0.03	0.05	0.09	0.09
Willow City 6 ENE	0.01	0.03	0.06	0.29	0.29
Willow City 10 NNE	0.02	0.02	0.05	0.16	0.16
Kingsland 9 WSW	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.08	0.08
Sandy Creek near Click	0.00	0.01	0.06	0.17	0.17
Round Mountain 11 WNW	0.02	0.02	0.10	0.38	0.38
Sandy Creek near Kingsland	0.03	0.03	0.07	0.23	0.23
Walnut Creek near Kingsland	0.04	0.04	0.22	0.54	0.54
Lake LBJ at Sandy Harbor	0.03	0.03	0.18	0.48	0.48
Round Mountain 6 WNW	0.03	0.04	0.09	0.25	0.25

Marble Falls

Location	1 Hour	3 Hour	6 Hour	24 Hour	Since Midnight
Marble Falls 4 WSW	0.01	0.02	0.05	0.21	0.21
Kingsland 6 ESE	0.03	0.03	0.20	0.47	0.47
Backbone Creek at Marble Falls	0.02	0.02	0.06	0.26	0.26
Flat Rock Creek near Marble Falls	0.00	0.00	0.03	0.13	0.13

Travis

Location	1 Hour	3 Hour	6 Hour	24 Hour	Since Midnight
Marble Falls 10 SSW	0.03	0.04	0.09	0.22	0.22
Burnet 6 SSE	0.01	0.01	0.05	0.18	0.18
Burnet 1 WSW	0.01	0.01	0.27	0.34	0.34
Hamilton Creek near Marble Falls	0.02	0.02	0.05	0.18	0.18
Marble Falls 6 ENE	0.02	0.02	0.04	0.24	0.24
Spicewood 5 WNW	0.03	0.04	0.09	0.24	0.24
Spicewood 2 NNE	0.00	0.00	0.13	0.16	0.16
Harper 4 SSW	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.02
Harper 8 SSE	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.02
Fredericksburg 10 WSW	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.05	0.05
Fredericksburg 9 SW	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.04	0.04
Pedernales River near Fredericksburg	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.10	0.10
Fredericksburg 5 N	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.12	0.12
Fredericksburg 10 SSE	0.01	0.03	0.07	0.26	0.26
South Grape Creek near Luckenbach	0.01	0.03	0.07	0.29	0.29
Willow City 6 SSW	0.01	0.03	0.05	0.24	0.24
Pedernales River at LBJ Ranch near Stonewall	0.01	0.03	0.07	0.22	0.22
Blanco 13 WNW	0.02	0.04	0.06	0.13	0.13
Willow City 3 NNW	0.01	0.03	0.04	0.15	0.15
Stonewall 7 NNE	0.01	0.03	0.09	0.28	0.28
North Grape Creek near Johnson City	0.01	0.03	0.07	0.23	0.23
Johnson City 10 NNW	0.02	0.05	0.09	0.26	0.26
Johnson City 4 NNW	0.03	0.06	0.08	0.16	0.16
Johnson City 5 SSW	0.02	0.05	0.09	0.13	0.13
Pedernales River near Johnson City	0.02	0.04	0.12	0.17	0.17
Blanco 5 NNE	0.03	0.05	0.59	0.76	0.76
Miller Creek near Johnson City	0.03	0.04	0.34	0.40	0.40
Johnson City 10 E	0.03	0.04	0.62	0.71	0.71
Dripping Springs 8 W	0.02	0.04	0.74	0.95	0.95
Flat Creek near Pedernales Falls State Park	0.03	0.08	0.50	0.66	0.66
Johnson City 9 NNE	0.03	0.05	0.08	0.18	0.18
Cypress Creek near Cypress Mill	0.04	0.06	0.43	0.46	0.46
Spicewood 4 S	0.02	0.06	0.37	0.40	0.40
Lakeway 6 W	0.02	0.11	0.73	0.80	0.80
Bertram 8 SSW	0.02	0.02	0.08	0.38	0.38
Marble Falls 14 ESE	0.02	0.04	0.22	0.25	0.25
Cow Creek near Lago Vista	0.00	0.03	0.35	0.36	0.36
Lakeway 2 E	0.00	0.06	0.20	0.30	0.30
Lago Vista 1 ESE	0.01	0.15	0.65	0.67	0.67
Leander 5 SW	0.02	0.11	0.68	0.71	0.71
Big Sandy Creek near Jonestown	0.01	0.10	0.51	0.52	0.52
Cedar Park 3 SSW	0.01	0.12	0.38	0.47	0.47
Mansfield Dam 1 ENE	0.01	0.02	0.23	0.30	0.30

Austin

Location	3 Hour	6 Hour	24 Hour	Since Midnight
Lake Austin at Quinlan Park	0.00	0.08	0.24	0.24
Lake Austin at Cortana Shores	0.01	0.12	0.22	0.22
Lake Austin at Davenport Ranch	0.00	0.10	0.17	0.17
Jollyville 2 SW	0.03	0.23	0.34	0.34
Bull Creek at Loop 360, Austin	0.01	0.19	0.26	0.26

Lady Bird Lake

Location	1 Hour	3 Hour	6 Hour	24 Hour	Since Midnight
Dripping Springs 4 NNE	0.01	0.03	0.14	0.34	0.34
Barton Creek at SH 71 near Oak Hill	0.00	0.00	0.08	0.20	0.20
Barton Creek at Loop 360, Austin	0.00	0.01	0.10	0.14	0.14
Lady Bird Lake near Longhorn Dam	0.03	0.07	0.13	0.26	0.26

Lower River

Location	1 Hour	3 Hour	6 Hour	24 Hour	Since Midnight
LCRA Redbud Center	0.01	0.02	0.14	0.41	0.41
Walnut Creek at Webberville Road, Austin	0.04	0.11	0.19	0.27	0.27
Dripping Springs 5 SSW	0.02	0.04	0.12	0.38	0.38
Driftwood 4 SSE	0.01	0.02	0.12	0.22	0.22
Onion Creek at Buda	0.01	0.02	0.08	0.15	0.15
Manchaca 4 W	0.02	0.03	0.16	0.23	0.23
Onion Creek at Hwy 183, Austin	0.01	0.07	0.16	0.34	0.34
Pflugerville 3 SSE	0.04	0.09	0.16	0.32	0.32
Gilleland Creek near Manor	0.02	0.10	0.12	0.31	0.31
Elgin 8 NW	0.02	0.07	0.29	0.35	0.35
Wilbarger Creek near Elgin	0.01	0.06	0.10	0.14	0.14
Big Sandy Creek near Elgin	0.05	0.14	0.22	0.22	0.22
Colorado River at Bastrop	0.00	0.21	0.39	0.41	0.41
Lockhart 6 NE	0.00	0.11	0.21	0.23	0.23
Cedar Creek 3 WSW	0.01	0.06	0.12	0.15	0.15
Rosanky 1 W	0.00	0.09	0.18	0.22	0.22
Colorado River at Smithville	0.00	0.03	0.08	0.19	0.19
Giddings 3 WSW	0.00	0.09	0.25	0.26	0.26
Colorado River above La Grange	0.00	0.10	0.22	0.22	0.22
Muldoon 6 WSW	0.00	0.01	0.07	0.07	0.07
Buckners Creek near Muldoon	0.00	0.01	0.05	0.05	0.05
La Grange 5 NE	0.00	0.11	0.16	0.16	0.16
Lake Fayette at Fayette Power Plant	0.00	0.03	0.05	0.05	0.05

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1 month ago
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SEVERE THREAT TODAY

From: zackshields
Description:

A cold front charging into a Summer-like airmass means storms are in our future later today. Some of them could reach severe status. Main threat will be with large hail and damaging winds.

There is about a 15 to 30% chance that isolated storms could become severe.

The front right now is located along the I-20 corridor. It will near our neighborhoods by late afternoon firing off a line of storms.

Some of the storms will lingering into the evening because the front will slow down.

We don't want the severe wx but more rain would be nice. Here is a look at future rain totals.

Even though the front will clear the area tonight and bring us cooler temps and lower humidity to the area tomorrow.

We will experience another round of heavy rain and storms on Friday because the main low is still spinning west of us.

The low will take aim on Texas on Friday pulling in the moisture and lifting it. This will lead to a stormy setup to wrap up the work week.

The low is forecast to move east of us over the weekend allowing the cool and dry wind flow to take over and give us a beautiful weekend.

Tons of sun, highs in the 70s, lows in the 50s, and low humidtiy will rule both Saturday and Sunday.
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1 month ago
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RAINY WEEK AHEAD

From: zackshields
Description:

As promised, we got a soggy weekend. The gauges got a nice workout. The rain really added up and caused a mud bowl at ACL Fest. Here are the rain totals over the weekend. Very impressive!!!

The rain formula is still in place for multiple rounds of rain and storms this week.

There is a slow moving low out west. As long as we are east of it skies will be mostly cloudy with more rain. The low will be a moisture pump and send more waves of low pressure our way to interact with two cold fronts.

The 1st front arrives early on Wednesday that is when the 1st wave of storms rolls through the area.

The next front will arrive on Friday. This one will collide with the massive low out west to give us a round of widespread heavy rain and severe storms as we wrap up the work week.

Through Wednesday here is a look at future rain totals.

Furture rain totals through Friday will be much higher.

Keep the rain gear handy. If this rainy weather keeps up we will put a big dent in the drought.
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1 month ago
Views: 216

Watching ACL Forecast

From: scottprinsen
Description:

The big Austin City Limits Music Festival weekend is a week away... and we are watching the forecast closely. Most of the week ahead will feature highs in the 80s and a slight chance for rain. One cold front arrives on Monday, followed by another one early Friday morning. The air behind these fronts will be only slightly cooler and a little drier.

The Friday front arrives on day one of ACL, and it appears that the front will have some rain with it. The good news for now is that the front should clear the area early in the morning... with sunny skies and highs in the lower 80s during the afternoon.

Saturday looks rain-free with highs in the 80s and increasing clouds. The clouds will be coming from a tropical system off the west coast of Mexico... and this plume of moisture may make for overcast skies and the possibility of showers for Sunday. Right now, there is about a 30 percent chance for rain on Sunday. As more computer model forecasts come in this week, we will have a better idea of how the Sunday forecast will shape up, so keep checking back in with us!

Enjoy the slightly cooler weather coming late tomorrow!

Scott Prinsen
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2 months ago
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SchallerxMiloxx70

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Since: 2 months ago

1ST AUTUMN RAIN: MUST SEE

From: zackshields
Description:

What a way to start off Fall...lots of rain and much cooler weather. Just yesterday it was sunny, hot and dry. Today it is just the opposite. Rounds and rounds of soaking rain without severe weather. Plus it is 20 to 30 degrees cooler. We have been waiting for this weather pattern change for months. What a welcome sight!

Here are the rain totals from 11 am Tuesday. It is still raining so totals will probably end up slightly higher.

I did some research and found out that we were way overdue for a rainy month.

The other big story....autumn temperatures on the way just in time for the start of the new season.

Kind of chilly tomorrow morning. I think it will be refreshing. Enjoy because we are back into the 90s over the weekend.
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2 months ago
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NEW RAIN RESEARCH

From: zackshields
Description:

I came across an article about how raindrops fall faster and may have led to overestimating rainfall. Here are the details on the research.

I caGraciela Flores
Natural History Magazine
LiveScience.com graciela Flores
natural History Magazine
livescience.com – Mon Sep 14, 6:25 pm ET

Raindrops just broke their own speed record: they can drop faster than anyone thought possible.

Larger drops are speedier than smaller ones because they are heavier and so can more easily overcome air resistance. But there's a limit to how fast a drop can go, a "terminal velocity" achieved when the downward force of gravity equals the upward drag of the air. Thus, whenever smaller drops are detected apparently beating larger ones in the race to the ground, atmospheric scientists interpret the observations as errors by recording instruments.

But Guillermo Montero-Martínez and Fernando García-García of the National Autonomous University of Mexico in Mexico City and colleagues audaciously propose that the scientists, and not the instruments, have been wrong. After measuring the speed and size of 65,000 raindrops, they concluded that half of all drops break their supposed speed limit.

The explanation: when a large drop falling at full speed breaks up - either because it becomes unstable or collides with another drop - the resulting droplets continue at the same speed, too fast for their diminutive size. After a few milliseconds, air resistance slows each drop to its own expected terminal velocity.

The transgression, however short-lived, is noteworthy. By interpreting small, fast drops as larger ones, meteorologists relying on specialized rain gauges or Doppler radar over the years might have been overestimating the amount of rainfall by as much as 20 percent.

The research was detailed in the journal Geophysical Research Letters.
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2 months ago
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Sept 9-13 Rain Totals!

From: scottprinsen
Description:

I've accumulated all of the LCRA rainfall data, and added up the rain totals since the rain started back on Wednesday September 9th. I also included the estimated storm total precipitation from the radar for all the rain that fell from the 9th through the 13th.

Enjoy!

Scott Prinsen

Image above from weatherunderground.com

Left click image, then click "View Enlarged Photo" to see the larger image.
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2 months ago
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