TROPICAL DEPRESSION CLOSE TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...AIR FORCE
PLANE IS EN ROUTE...
























A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE EASTERN
COAST OF NICARAGUA AND FOR THE ISLANDS OF SAN ANDRES AND
PROVIDENCIA.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

AT 100 PM EST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.3 WEST OR ABOUT
65 MILES...105 KM...SOUTHWEST OF SAN ANDRES ISLAND AND ABOUT
100 MILES...160 KM...EAST OF BLUEFIELDS NICARAGUA.

THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7
MPH...11 KM/HR...BUT A SLOWER MOTION IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY WITH A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST. ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER OF THE
DEPRESSION WILL BE NEAR THE EAST COAST OF NICARAGUA THIS EVENING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AND FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED UNTIL LANDFALL.























The winds will near 50 mph before making landfall in Central America. After that the projected path is wide.
The models are all over the place with this system. Some keep it over land and the other half
put it in the gulf next week. We have plenty of time to follow it.
The chances it turns toward Texas is low because we are expecting a storm system to move in
from the west and should push it east.